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Emerging markets continued to expand at a solid pace midway into the first quarter of 2024, supported by broad-based expansion across both manufacturing and service sectors.
Past experience shows us that emerging markets have historically reacted positively to higher global rates, especially if the latter reflects an improving global growth outlook. Most emerging markets will start normalizing rates well before the U.S. and developed markets.
Asian markets rose in August to seal the best regional performance in EMs. Stocks in China, India and Indonesia posted notable gains.
Allocating to smaller companies can help broaden an EM allocation by providing a different mix of exposures to opportunities across countries and sectors.
Back in the simpler days of 2019, there was this (now completely forgotten) impending crisis in which emerging market countries' dollar-denominated debt was going to blow up their - and by extension the rest of the world's - economies.
Defining a depression as opposed to a recession is open to wide interpretation. Recessions are a natural part of the credit cycle.
The emerging markets had a solid July 2020, up roughly 7% depending on the proxy you use. VWO and OAKIX represent uncorrelated holdings for the growthier positions in client accounts.
The size and speed of the dollar’s fall are driven more by euro strength flowing out from the ECB’s move toward debt mutualization than by dollar weakness.