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Bridgewater exited positions in Chinese equities, as U.S.-China tensions are concerning for Chinese shares. If you are also a believer of this theory, you can bet on inverse ETFs like YXI, FXP and YANG.
The latest figures published by the People's Bank of China show that credit and liquidity are stalling as demand for new loans declines. Deteriorating confidence in China's prospects explains why households prefer paying down debts while companies borrow less.
Data came in generally in line or slightly weaker than forecasts, as weak confidence continued to depress investment and consumption. New home prices fell by -0.65% MoM in July, compared to a -0.67% MoM drop in June.
The People's Bank of China kept the one-year medium-term lending facility rate unchanged at 2.5% today, in line with market expectations. We believe that in conjunction with today's data releases and the start of rate cuts in other central banks such as the European Central Bank and Bank of Canada, the odds of a PBoC rate cut in the coming months have risen.
Key economic indicators are mixed in China and, in fact, were mostly weaker than expected last month. So, policymakers are now stepping up support for the property sector in particular.
China's near-term challenges and long-term uncertainties are plentiful, but the widespread pessimism towards the Chinese economy and markets feels excessive.
The PBOC held the 1-year medium-term lending facility (MLF) rate at 2.5% in March. The PBOC remains on a dovish tilt, but depreciation pressure on the RMB limits room for monetary easing in China before global central banks start to cut rates.
China and Hong Kong markets had a humbling 2023 with equities down more than 10%. Beijing has also begun stepping up tourism and travel promotions, granting visa-free entry to 11 countries, with Singapore and Thailand the latest to be included.
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Transcripts source: company-published earnings calls. Speaker attribution and formatting are processed in-app.