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US Treasury 5 Year Note ETF (NASDAQ: UFIV - Get Free Report) was up 0.2% on Wednesday. The stock traded as high as $49.40 and last traded at $49.40. Approximately 3,833 shares were traded during mid-day trading, a decline of 73% from the average daily volume of 14,194 shares. The stock had previously closed at
I rate UFIV a Hold due to uncertainty in interest rates and better-performing 5-year Treasury ETFs like XFIV with lower costs. UFIV offers a 3.9% yield, but this is less than 5-year CDs and peer ETFs, though interest is exempt from state taxes. Shorter-duration Treasury ETFs have outperformed recently, but this could shift if the Fed cuts rates and inflation remains controlled.
Recession is almost certainly coming, likely within 1 to 2 months. Stocks are likely to fall 15% to 30%, and possibly as much as 45% if the United States defaults on its debt in 3 to 4 weeks.
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Transcripts source: company-published earnings calls. Speaker attribution and formatting are processed in-app.