

The Fed has indicated that rate cuts are unlikely in 2026. That means investors should be careful about investing in longer-term bonds.

You opened a savings statement recently and felt that quiet sting. The number looks fine, but the receipts disagree.

While the price of a hot dog at Costco NASDAQ: COST has remained $1.50 for the past 41 years, it feels like the cost of just about every other good and service has erupted.

The Vanguard Long-Term Bond ETF (NYSEARCA:BLV) is the kind of fund retirees gravitate toward: a long-duration, investment-grade bond index ETF that has paid a monthly distribution for 230 consecutive months since May 2007.

Most bond investors manage two risks simultaneously without fully separating them: the risk that inflation erodes the purchasing power of their income, and the risk that rising interest rates push the market value of their bonds below what they paid.

The Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected Securities ETF invests in short-term inflation-protected treasuries, or TIPs. At current inflation rates, VTIP should deliver 3.8% in returns for shareholders, slightly more than comparable treasuries and T-bills. VTIP is a buy and seems like a particularly interesting investment to more risk-averse, conservative investors.

The U.S. inflation print for April 2026 came in at 3.8%, and that is still well above the Federal Reserve's long-term 2% target.

Several small, simple moves can collectively make a world of difference should the economy take a turn for the worse this year.