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If you bought Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (NYSEARCA:TMF) five years ago expecting triple the returns of long Treasuries, your $10,000 is now worth roughly $1,527.
The Case For The Leveraged TMF At The Bottom Of The Bond Market Trading Range
The Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF offers leveraged exposure to long-duration treasuries, mirroring TLT but with 3x daily leverage via swaps. TMF's daily leverage reset amplifies both gains and losses, making it a high-risk, short-term trading vehicle rather than a long-term hold. Technical indicators signal persistent volatility and downside pressure in long-duration bonds, with no clear buy signals for the fund at present.
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF) offers 3x leveraged daily exposure to long-dated US Treasuries, suitable only for experienced active traders. Diverging Fed rate expectations for 2026 may create heightened volatility and trading opportunities in TMF, with consensus leaning toward 50bps in rate cuts. TMF is currently rangebound, with upcoming economic data releases likely to set direction and present tactical trading opportunities.
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Pressure is mounting on the Federal Reserve to keep cutting interest rates, and dividend ETFs like Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (NYSEARCA:TMF), iShares Preferred and Income Securities (NASDAQ:PFF), and Schwab US TIPS ETF (NYSEARCA:SCHP) will be the first in line to benefit.
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3x Shares (NYSEARCA:TMF - Get Free Report) was the target of some unusual options trading on Monday. Stock traders bought 48,133 call options on the company. This is an increase of approximately 110% compared to the typical volume of 22,935 call options. Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3x
The Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF), is recommended as a short-term bullish trading tool amid rising long bond futures. Fed rate cuts, stable inflation, and a likely Fed leadership change in 2026 could catalyze a bond rally toward the 127.22 resistance. Persistent U.S. debt, credit downgrades, and reduced global demand pose risks to long-term rate declines and bond upside.