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The ProShares Short 7-10 Year Treasury is designed to provide daily investment returns that precisely mirror the inverse (-1x) performance of the ICE U.S. Treasury 7-10 Year Bond Index over a single day. This objective is measured before any fees or operating expenses are factored in.
Is TBX's expense ratio expensive, average, or a steal for its category?
Pro reveals the verdict on a 5-tier spectrum calibrated against ICI 2025 industry averages, with strategy-aware bands so the comparison is meaningful.
Treasury yields climbed as Middle East tensions linger. These inverse Treasury ETFs could benefit if inflation and bond yields keep rising.
I initially rated ProShares Short 7-10 Year Treasury ETF a "Buy" in April 2022 due to rising rates; now, I rate it a "Sell". TBX had a 14.3% annualized return from April 2022 to October 2023, while iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF had an APR of -8.7%. The Federal Reserve's balance sheet reduction and rising national debt will put upward pressure on intermediate Treasuries in the longer-term.
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It generally takes a few years for changes in Federal Reserve rates to fully impact bond fund dividends. Bond funds are still benefitting from prior rate hikes. Perhaps by enough to cancel out any future rate cuts. By my estimations, and under current Fed guidance, most bond funds would only start to see declining dividends in 2025, at the earliest.
The Fed's decision not to raise rates was expected, but the reaction and interpretation of the decision is causing market movement. The Fed's statement indicated that there may be one more rate hike this year and no significant cuts next year, surprising many investors.