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Bond markets around the world have trembled in the last week, as uncertainty continues to rise. A mix of geopolitical, trade, debt, and currency pressures have put immense pressure on yields.
Active exchange-traded funds crossed $2 trillion in assets for the first time in July, according to State Street Investment Management. The category gathered $58.5 billion during the month, pushing year-to-date inflows to $457 billion.
During the past three years, the T. Rowe Price Ultra Short-Term Bond ETF has strongly outperformed the Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF and the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF.
Dimon said he wouldn't buy long-term U.S. Treasury bonds because of the risk of rising interest rates. The Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF has declined 5.6% annually during the past five years.
The T. Rowe Price Ultra Short-Term Bond ETF has strongly outperformed the Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF since September 2021. If interest rates go higher in the future, bond prices will go down -- and that's an extra-large risk for longer-duration bonds.
2026 is about halfway done, but there are plenty of market trends still looming for the second half. The first half of the year had plenty of the unexpected for investors to contend with, including, but not limited to, the return of spiking inflation.
The Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF is a solid choice for most investors, but T. Rowe Price's short-term bond fund has delivered impressive returns.
Most people should steer clear of long-term bond funds, and the reason why might surprise you.