Loading…
Loading…
The Fed is likely to be less concerned that a rate hike will damage the labor market.
The S&P 500 has risen about 2.6% since late June despite a global bond market selloff that pushed 10-year Treasury yields to a high of 4.815%.
The 10-year Bund yields reached their highest since 2011 and yields on U.K. 10-year government bonds climbed to their highest level since 2007.
Many factors are sending yields higher, but rising energy costs are the inflationary trigger
The bond selloff comes as investors were already reassessing inflation risks and government borrowing as renewed military escalations between the U.S. and Iran sparked a new surge in oil prices, with crude rising to $92 a barrel on Tuesday after two Saudi oil tanks were struck in the Strait of Hormuz. The strait handled around 20 million barrels of crude oil per day before the war, and while the U.S. says between 8 million and 9 million barrels are now exported daily, other tracking firms and analysts believe the number is between 2 million and 6 million.
Global bond yields surged Tuesday as renewed tension between the U.S. and Iran reinforced inflation expectations, which increased the prospect of interest-rate hikes in the coming months.
In theory, the last several years should've been an ideal time to own Treasury Inflation Protection Securities (TIPS) and the related ETFs. However, the largest ETF in the category has gained just 4% since June 2025.
However, Kevin Warsh didn't say if interest rates would change in coming months, as inflation remains stubborn