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The Empire State Manufacturing Index rates a level above 0.0 indicates improving conditions, below indicates worsening conditions. Since this survey only goes back to July of 2001, we only have two complete business cycles with which to evaluate its usefulness as an indicator for the broader economy.

The September S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI came in at 52.0, up 0.5 from the final August figure. The brightest signs of life are coming from the domestic market, with producers of both consumer goods and, most notably, business equipment reporting improved sales to the home market.

The Dallas Fed released its Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey (TMOS) for September. The latest general business activity index came in at -17.2, down 4.3 from last month.

The manufacturing sector continues to be plagued by supply chain problems while demand is weakening. A post-pandemic reshuffle is in the making, with demand weakening and supply becoming less disrupted.

The latest headline Purchasing Managers' Index was 55.4, a decrease of 1.7 from 57.1 the previous month and in expansion territory. Today's headline number was below the Investing.com forecast of 57.6.

The Institute for Supply Management's Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index fell to 58.7 in December, off 2.4 points from 61.1 percent in November. Demand measures remained strong overall despite a slight pullback in the New Orders Index. The index fell 1.1 points to 60.4 percent in December.

The Institute for Supply Management's Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index fell to 60.8 in October, off 0.3 points from 61.1 percent in September. October is the 17th consecutive reading above the neutral 50 threshold and the eighth month above 60 in the last 11 months.

The confluence of the strong economic cycle and what we expect will be a step up in capital investment spending suggests a portfolio focus on industrials. We believe favorable market structures exist in areas as diverse as North American rails, aircraft production, airlines, HVAC manufacturing, and other niche markets.