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AI-related equity jitters are unlikely to be resolved overnight and eurozone government bonds could actually come out as a winner. Relative to euro rates, US equity volatility is reaching highs similar to previous crisis periods. A global rebalancing of portfolios could see significant demand for euro rates, mitigating the upward rate pressure.
Flow Traders U.S. LLC lessened its position in iShares MSCI Europe Small-Cap ETF (NASDAQ: IEUS) by 87.9% during the undefined quarter, according to the company in its most recent Form 13F filing with the SEC. The institutional investor owned 7,949 shares of the company's stock after selling 57,968 shares during the period. Flow
Europe's macro outlook is shifting. After years of fiscal restraint and fragmented policy, the region is entering a new chapter - one centered on pro-growth fiscal policy, energy security, and capital-market reform.
It's true that it's been a challenging year for U.S. small-cap ETFs. Using the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) as a benchmark for the category, we immediately see that 2025 has been marked by red ink.
European small caps, which represent a significant portion of the economy, have shown better long-term performance. IEUS ETF offers strong diversification and competitive performance, with an expense ratio of 0.41% and a dividend yield of 3.13%. The dominant sectors in IEUS have momentum right now, and the season from February to May shows a win rate of 50% or higher.
India small-caps only recently took the lead on the US, with a big jump higher over the last 18 months or so. Small-caps in other countries have been poor options for US investors relative to owning something like the S&P 500 ETF.
The European Central Bank cut interest rates by 25bps, bringing the deposit rate down to 3.75%. Inflation is expected to come in at 2.5% in 2024, 2.2% in 2025 and 1.9% in 2026.
Declining inflation and slower growth have contributed to the rising potential for rate cuts in Europe. Eurozone core inflation has been coming down more quickly than similar measures in the U.S. and the U.K. If the euro were to weaken and drop through parity, that might give the ECB pause about cutting rates.