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Mahjabeen Zaman from ANZ Bank thinks the BOJ will hike rates by 25 bps in its upcoming meeting, but it will be difficult for the BOJ to be more hawkish than other central banks due to fiscal difficulties, which might be disappointing to people who want the yen to strengthen more.

The yen's surge may be signaling something much bigger than another carry-trade scare: the price of Japanese capital is changing. For the first time in decades, rising JGB yields are making it increasingly rational for Japanese investors to keep more money at home.

The Japanese economy notched a third consecutive quarter of growth, but at a slower pace as household and corporate spending weakened.

Japanese stocks were higher following a recovery in U.S. technology stocks overnight.

Japan spent about $73 billion on foreign exchange intervention and the Bank of Japan has raised rates, but the yen remains near 160 against the dollar. A wide U.S.-Japan rate gap, carry trades and Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's reflationary stance continue to weigh on the currency.

At the recent Midyear Market Outlook Symposium, TMX VettaFi Investment Strategist Cinthia Murphy led a timely discussion on the shifting global investment landscape. With uncertainty building in U.S. markets and international equities outperforming in 2025, investors are increasingly asking whether this trend has staying power.

As the global private equity industry took tentative steps toward recovery in 2024, Japan raced ahead. The value of private equity investment in Japan jumped nearly 41% over the prior-year total in 2024, far outpacing the 25% year-over-year gain in global private equity deal value, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence data.

The “real” policy rate is massively negative, with the new policy rate of 0.25% far below Core CPI of 2.6%. When QT reaches about ¥3 trillion per month in 2026, it would represent a reduction of its JGB holdings of about 0.5% per month.