

Blackstone Mortgage (BXMT) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.

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NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. (NYSE: BXMT) declared a dividend of $0.47 per share of class A common stock with respect to the second quarter of 2026. This dividend is payable on July 15, 2026, to stockholders of record as of the close of business on June 30, 2026. About Blackstone Mortgage Trust Blackstone Mortgage Trust (NYSE: BXMT) is a real estate finance company that originates, acquires and manages senior loans and other debt or credit-oriented investments coll.

Blackstone Mortgage Trust fully supported its dividend with distributable earnings in Q1'26 when adjusted for loan losses. BXMT's strategic pivot away from office loans and into industrial and multi-family markets has narrowed its discount to book value to 11%. The 2024 dividend reset and portfolio restructuring have led to 17% per-share year-over-year growth in distributable earnings and improved balance sheet quality.

With $46M in charge-offs this quarter, CECL reserves are no longer just "paper losses"—they are crystallized hits to Blackstone Mortgage Trust's capital, proving that lent money is officially not coming back. Earnings of $0.21 per share significantly trail the $0.47 dividend. While the company highlights "distributable earnings," the persistent need for massive credit reserves suggests the current payout is increasingly fragile. Blackstone Mortgage Trust now holds over $1.15 billion in foreclosed real estate. Far from being a "hidden value" play, these assets are currently a "negative carry."

More than 1,500 stocks have reported earnings since the current season began in mid-April, and the average stock that has reported has seen an average absolute one-day share price reaction of roughly 7%. The last time we saw earnings vol spike was during the Financial Crisis bear market, when stocks were tanking. This time around, we're seeing earnings vol increase during a strong AI-driven bull market. Tech stocks are seeing record earnings day volatility as investors and traders presumably make snap judgements about AI's future impact on the bottom line.

The iShares Mortgage Real Estate ETF (NYSEARCA:REM) gives income investors exposure to roughly two dozen mortgage REITs in a single ticker, smoothing out the cuts and surprises that routinely hit individual mREITs.

Blackstone Mortgage Trust maintains a near 10% dividend yield, fully covered by distributable earnings prior to realized gains and losses. BXMT's first quarter net revenue rose 25.6% to $159.42 million, driven by increased real estate owned (REO) activity after foreclosures. The mREIT is trading at a 6.3% discount to its first-quarter book value per share, with dividend coverage slipping and book value also on a sustained dip.
SEC filings for BXMT aren't indexed yet — common for recently launched funds. Browse the issuer's filings on SEC EDGAR directly.