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It feels like we're reaching a moment of peak doubt about the AI boom, so investors have big choices to make.
ARTY, WQTM, and ARKX represent a progression from commercial AI to speculative quantum computing and diversified space/defense innovation. ARTY is my highest-conviction Buy, backed by strong earnings, hyperscaler capex, and leading AI hardware/software exposure despite a 37x earnings multiple. WQTM is a speculative buy, offering quantum computing optionality but trading at 119x trailing earnings; position sizing should be small due to high valuation risk.
AI is everywhere in the product. But revenue growth is decelerating, from 16% to 13% to 12% guided. The productivity benefits are arriving for users and end-consumers of AI, though it's not hitting the income statement (at least yet) for most companies.
I downgrade iShares Future AI & Tech ETF from "Buy" to "Hold" after a rapid 40% rally and surging volatility. ARTY's concentrated AI exposure, 31% non-U.S. allocation, and implied volatility above 50% heighten risk amid unstable sector leadership. Valuation remains constructive with a PEG near 1x, but technicals signal potential downside toward $55 if support levels break.
Goldman Sachs models $765 billion in annual AI capital spending for 2026, climbing toward $1.6 trillion by 2031.
Most capital chasing the generative AI theme has flowed into chips. Semiconductor funds have absorbed the bulk of inflows, and the price action shows it: the iShares Semiconductor ETF (NASDAQ:SOXX | SOXX Price Prediction) is up 87% year to date.
Humanoid robots have moved beyond assembly lines. AI-powered machines are being trialed for legal research, financial analysis, and front-line customer service, pushing automation into work historically considered safe from displacement.
For investors who want exposure to the artificial intelligence buildout without trying to pick the next NVIDIA, the iShares Future AI & Tech ETF (NASDAQ:ARTY) pitches a single-ticket solution: spread chips across the entire AI value chain, from semiconductors to data center infrastructure to software.
SEC filings for ARTY aren't indexed yet — common for recently launched funds. Browse the issuer's filings on SEC EDGAR directly.